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The Quiet Before

Small-cap discovery intelligence from the local pipeline export.

System Performance

Signals Tracked

48

Positive

68.8%

Hit 5%+

31.3%

Hit 10%+

14.6%

Hit 20%+

8.3%

Median Days to Peak

—

Confidence

High

Note: aggregate stats influenced by outlier signal.

AI Evaluated Signals

ANNA

HOLDING

Early strength

Trigger: HARD TO TELL

Detected: 2026-03-15

Detection Price: $3.3

Current Price: $3.1

Days Active: 2d

AI Research Note

ANNA remains in early detection stage with declining conviction - rising volume but unclear catalyst, weak financials, mixed signals, and poor entry after recent -15.8% drop followed by monthly gains

lifecycle_stage: DETECTED

conviction_tier: no

conviction_direction: Weakening

entry_determination: Do not enter

total_score: 38

As of 2026-04-17

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

AI-assisted research note. Not investment advice. Not pipeline output.

ALOY

HOLDING

Early strength

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-07

Detection Price: $7.9

Current Price: $11.7

Days Active: 20d

AI Research Note

ALOY maintains detection stage with rising volume and clean promotional status, but poor recent price performance (-15.7% monthly) suggests weakening momentum despite slight technical score improvement.

lifecycle_stage: DETECTED

conviction_tier: no

conviction_direction: Weakening

entry_determination: Do not enter

total_score: 43

As of 2026-04-17

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

AI-assisted research note. Not investment advice. Not pipeline output.

Signals

TORO

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-23

Detection Price: $6.3

Current Price: $5.4

Days Active: 3d

ACTG

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $5.0

Current Price: $4.7

Days Active: 13d

SGMT

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-27

Detection Price: $8.3

Current Price: $7.6

Days Active: 0d

RLYB

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-05-05

Detection Price: $14.2

Current Price: $14.7

Days Active: 0d

INVE

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-27

Detection Price: $4.7

Current Price: $5.0

Days Active: 6d

MX

BROKEN

Weak follow-through

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-24

Detection Price: $4.8

Current Price: $3.5

Days Active: 7d

SKLZ

BROKEN

Weak follow-through

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-23

Detection Price: $9.4

Current Price: $6.9

Days Active: 10d

BIRD

BROKEN

Weak follow-through

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-15

Detection Price: $13.0

Current Price: $9.7

Days Active: 16d

ZNTL

BROKEN

Weak follow-through

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-13

Detection Price: $6.5

Current Price: $4.9

Days Active: 18d

ETHM

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-13

Detection Price: $10.8

Current Price: $10.8

Days Active: 16d

TENX

DEGRADING

Needs confirmation

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-10

Detection Price: $14.9

Current Price: $13.5

Days Active: 19d

SIGA

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-08

Detection Price: $4.6

Current Price: $4.6

Days Active: 21d

GEVO

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-07

Detection Price: $2.0

Current Price: $1.7

Days Active: 22d

MOBX

BROKEN

Weak follow-through

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-07

Detection Price: $3.4

Current Price: $2.5

Days Active: 22d

AGH

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-06

Detection Price: $3.9

Current Price: $3.2

Days Active: 21d

SI

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: SOMETHING HAPPENED

Detected: 2026-04-06

Detection Price: $14.6

Current Price: $14.1

Days Active: 21d

SIMA

DEGRADING

Needs confirmation

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-04-01

Detection Price: $10.7

Current Price: $10.7

Days Active: 24d

POWW

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-31

Detection Price: $2.0

Current Price: $2.1

Days Active: 27d

NAUT

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-31

Detection Price: $3.7

Current Price: $3.1

Days Active: 27d

WTI

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-31

Detection Price: $3.3

Current Price: $3.1

Days Active: 27d

CCLD

BROKEN

Weak follow-through

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-31

Detection Price: $3.7

Current Price: $2.7

Days Active: 27d

YEXT

DEGRADING

Needs confirmation

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-30

Detection Price: $3.9

Current Price: $3.6

Days Active: 28d

ACNT

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-30

Detection Price: $13.0

Current Price: $13.9

Days Active: 28d

OVID

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $2.4

Current Price: $2.8

Days Active: 29d

PAYS

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: SOMETHING HAPPENED | MIGHT BE HYPED

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $5.4

Current Price: $5.7

Days Active: 29d

ROMA

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $6.5

Current Price: $4.1

Days Active: 29d

SHIP

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: SOMETHING HAPPENED | MIGHT BE HYPED

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $12.2

Current Price: $11.7

Days Active: 29d

TACO

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $10.2

Current Price: $10.2

Days Active: 29d

TLYS

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $4.2

Current Price: $4.2

Days Active: 29d

TSI

DEGRADING

Needs confirmation

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $4.6

Current Price: $4.5

Days Active: 29d

TTEC

HOLDING

Early strength

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $2.2

Current Price: $2.6

Days Active: 29d

XTIA

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $2.1

Current Price: $2.0

Days Active: 29d

NCI

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $5.8

Current Price: $5.8

Days Active: 29d

ARQ

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $2.5

Current Price: $2.5

Days Active: 29d

QUIK

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $9.5

Current Price: $9.9

Days Active: 29d

PROP

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-27

Detection Price: $2.0

Current Price: $2.1

Days Active: 29d

JFB

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-25

Detection Price: $9.3

Current Price: $6.9

Days Active: 31d

BDMD

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-25

Detection Price: $2.1

Current Price: $1.9

Days Active: 31d

AP

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $7.4

Current Price: $6.8

Days Active: 32d

ATOM

DEGRADING

Needs confirmation

Trigger: SOMETHING HAPPENED | MIGHT BE HYPED

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $4.8

Current Price: $3.8

Days Active: 32d

AUNA

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $5.8

Current Price: $5.7

Days Active: 32d

AVIR

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $5.3

Current Price: $5.1

Days Active: 32d

CBUS

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $2.7

Current Price: $2.0

Days Active: 32d

CCCC

HOLDING

Early strength

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $2.5

Current Price: $2.9

Days Active: 32d

DLTH

DEGRADING

Needs confirmation

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $3.2

Current Price: $3.1

Days Active: 32d

DSX

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $2.5

Current Price: $2.4

Days Active: 32d

EDF

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $5.0

Current Price: $5.0

Days Active: 32d

GASS

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $9.4

Current Price: $9.2

Days Active: 32d

HYAC

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $11.5

Current Price: $10.8

Days Active: 32d

INN

DEGRADING

Stalling

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $4.3

Current Price: $4.7

Days Active: 32d

KORE

HOLDING

Holding — watching

Trigger: A FEW THINGS LINING UP

Detected: 2026-03-24

Detection Price: $9.0

Current Price: $9.1

Days Active: 32d

Signal History

Big Movers (10)

SKLZInvalidatedSignal conditions broke down before an opportunity developed.2026-04-2332.2%1.4.1
BIRDInvalidatedSignal conditions broke down before an opportunity developed.2026-04-1530.6%1.4.1
ALOYExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-0763.1%1.4.1
OVIDExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-2723.6%1.4.1
ALTOActive2026-03-2439.0%1.4.1
FFActive2026-03-2434.2%1.4.1
ALLOActive2026-04-1520.7%1.4.1
KPTIActive2026-03-2475.6%1.4.1
DTILActive2026-04-0736.1%1.4.1
ANNAActive2026-03-15210.3%1.4.1

Solid Movers (17)

MXInvalidatedSignal conditions broke down before an opportunity developed.2026-04-249.1%1.4.1
INVEExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-277.0%1.4.1
NAUTExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-316.0%1.4.1
POWWExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-315.8%1.4.1
ACNTExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-306.7%1.4.1
PAYSExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-275.9%1.4.1
TTECExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-2715.2%1.4.1
BDMDExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-255.2%1.4.0
CBUSExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-245.9%1.4.0
CCCCExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-2416.0%1.4.1
INNExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-2413.0%1.4.1
CODAActive2026-03-2412.1%1.4.1
TOROActive2026-04-238.4%1.4.1
TOYOActive2026-04-159.7%1.4.1
ACHVActive2026-04-2012.9%1.4.1
QTTBActive2026-04-1419.4%1.4.1
SGMTActive2026-04-275.4%1.4.1

Small / Noise (41)

ZNTLInvalidatedSignal conditions broke down before an opportunity developed.2026-04-130.0%1.4.1
MOBXInvalidatedSignal conditions broke down before an opportunity developed.2026-04-070.0%1.4.1
CCLDInvalidatedSignal conditions broke down before an opportunity developed.2026-03-310.0%1.4.1
ETHMExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-130.9%1.4.1
TENXExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-100.0%1.4.1
SIGAExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-082.6%1.4.1
GEVOExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-070.2%1.4.1
AGHExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-061.3%1.4.1
SIExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-064.2%1.4.1
SIMAExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-04-010.0%1.4.1
WTIExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-312.3%1.4.1
YEXTExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-300.0%1.4.1
ARQExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-270.6%1.4.1
NCIExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-270.0%1.4.0
PROPExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-273.3%1.4.1
QUIKExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-274.9%1.4.1
TACOExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-270.4%1.4.0
TLYSExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-270.5%1.4.1
TSIExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-270.0%1.4.0
APExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-240.5%1.4.0
ATOMExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-240.0%1.4.1
AUNAExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-242.7%1.4.1
AVIRExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-241.9%1.4.0
DLTHExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-240.0%1.4.1
DSXExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-240.0%1.4.0
EDFExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-240.0%1.4.0
GASSExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-241.7%1.4.1
HYACExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-240.5%1.4.1
KOREExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-241.1%1.4.1
ACTGActive2026-03-242.4%1.4.1
LOCOActive2026-04-061.5%1.4.1
AMPYActive2026-03-240.6%1.4.1
BZUNActive2026-04-281.3%1.4.1
DTIActive2026-04-080.0%1.4.1
RPAYActive2026-04-200.2%1.4.1
BODIActive2026-05-010.8%1.4.1
XRXActive2026-05-062.9%1.4.1
FLWSActive2026-05-070.0%1.4.1
FRSTActive2026-04-243.7%1.4.1
RLYBActive2026-05-052.9%1.4.1
SPCEActive2026-04-274.8%1.4.1

Failed Signals (4)

ROMAExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-27-3.4%1.4.1
SHIPExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-27-1.3%1.4.1
XTIAExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-27-2.1%1.4.0
JFBExitedSignal ran its course — the opportunity window closed.2026-03-25-3.0%1.4.0

Stats

Confidence

High

Signal Sample Size

48

Mean Return

5.5%

Median Return

1.2%

Pct Reaching 20

8.3%

Pct Reaching 30

6.3%

Pct Reaching 50

2.1%

Avg Days To Peak

—

Avg Time To Opportunity

3.8d

Outlier disclosure: Note: aggregate stats influenced by outlier signal.

Batch cohort disclosure: 6 signals share promotion_date 2026-05-07. 11 distinct promotion_dates represented in current active set.

Discovery candidates for research purposes only. Not investment advice.